It’s clear that AI can be extremely useful in automating painstaking data collection and aggregation processes, as well as many other things, but it’s incredulous to imagine that it’s going to transform the economy so dramatically that, within ten years, every single worker is going to become more productive than the most productive worker in the world today. Just think about it.
Of course it will help with time-consuming bureaucratic tasks, but how on earth is it going to create such staggering productivity gains for millions upon millions of ordinary workers with ordinary jobs? How will it lay bricks, unblock drains, or pick fruit so much more quickly? How is it going to vastly increase the productivity of chefs, hairdressers, retail workers, electricians, gym instructors, agricultural workers, HGV drivers, and all other kinds of workers, to such an extent that they become more productive in a decade than the most productive worker in the world today? Sure, it might help to make marginal gains by handling invoices, supply chains, accounts, and timetables somewhat more efficiently, if they all learn to use the technology, but this isn’t what Starmer’s aide is claiming is it?
They’re claiming that workers in every sector are all going to make such extraordinary leaps forward in productivity over the next decade that everyone will be more productive than the most productive worker is today. It’s such an extraordinary overstatement of the gains that they’re way into magic beans territory. It’s just plain stupid to imagine that the big benefit of such unbelievably unrealistic productivity gains would be that Rachel Reeves will be able to balance the books a bit better.
UK workers have already suffered the longest period of wage stagnation on
record, and the mood of public discontent is palpable. How are people going to react if they see AI start erasing even more jobs, to
deliver even bigger private profits, while our politicians tell us that it’s
actually a magic cure-all that we should be thankful for?
Starmer’s inner circle seem to be constructing a house of cards of AI
delusions. Yes, there are some big potential upsides in terms of easing bureaucratic tasks,
but what’s the benefit if all of the gains are siphoned off in private profits,
especially when the government seems so intolerant to the basic concept that
wealth needs to be redistributed to prevent soaring inequality? It’s absolutely delusional to claim that within a decade AI is going to make
every worker more productive than the most productive worker today. The child-like faith in AI saving Rachel Reeves’ skin demonstrates an
unwillingness to even address, let alone deal with any of the country’s real
economic problems.
Aligning with the US approach to AI looks particularly dangerous given the
Trump administration’s protectionist agenda and fanatical zeal for extreme
deregulation. And it seems extraordinarily short-sighted to focus on the profoundly
unrealistic fantasy that AI is going to turn all of us into super-workers,
while ignoring the threat that AI poses to jobs and Britain’s precious creative
industries.